It is certainly possible that Trump's arrest could complicate his 2024 re-election bid. If he is convicted, it would be a major black mark on his record and would likely make it difficult for him to win back the support of independent voters. Additionally, the ongoing legal drama could distract from his campaign and make it difficult for him to focus on the issues.
However, it is also possible that Trump's arrest could actually help him in the polls. His supporters have shown a willingness to overlook his flaws, and they may see his arrest as further evidence that he is being persecuted by the deep state. Additionally, the arrest could energize his base and make them more likely to turn out to vote in 2024.
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